The 2026 midterm elections are unfolding against a backdrop of diverse political engagement and shifting views on President Donald Trump’s second term. The Pew Research Center’s political typology, which categorizes Americans based on their political values and attitudes, highlights significant variations in how these groups are paying attention to the elections and their evolving opinions of the president.
This analysis builds upon the Center’s 2026 Political Typology, a project that has been mapping the American political landscape for nearly four decades. The typology divides the public into nine distinct groups based on their responses to questions about social and political values and beliefs. The goal is to provide a deeper understanding of the political spectrum beyond traditional partisan leanings.
Varying levels of engagement with the midterm elections
The level of engagement with the November elections varies significantly among the typology groups. The No Apologies RightFaith First Conservatives and Leftward Progressives are among the most invested, reflecting their highly partisan and ideologically consistent stances. Conversely, the Unconventional Right and Tuned-Out Middle show considerably less interest.
For instance, only 11% of Unconventional Right registered voters have given much thought to the elections, and just 43% believe the outcome really matters. The Tuned-Out Middle characterized by their low interest in politics, are hardly thinking about the elections at all. This group is largely unconcerned with which party gains control of Congress next year.
Midterm election preferences and partisan affiliations
The midterm election preferences among the typology groups broadly align with their The Loyal Liberals and Leftward Progressives show strong support for Democratic candidates, with 95% and 90% respectively indicating they would vote for the Democratic candidate if the election were held today. On the other hand, the No Apologies Right and Faith First Conservatives show robust support for Republican candidates.
The Pragmatic and Polite RightOrder and Opportunity Left and Left-Out Left groups exhibit more mixed partisan affiliations and political values. These groups are modestly engaged with the elections, with at least half of their voters stating that the outcome really matters. However, their support for candidates is more divided, reflecting the complex and nuanced nature of their political beliefs.
The impact of Trump’s policies on the economy
President Trump’s policies, particularly those related to the economy, have become a focal point of debate as the midterm elections approach. A recent poll by the Pew Research Center indicates that a growing number of Republicans are blaming Trump’s policies for worsening economic conditions. This shift in opinion comes amidst rising gas prices and economic disruptions caused by the war against Iran.
The poll found that 28% of Republican voters believe Trump’s economic policies have made conditions worse, up from 18% in January 2026. Despite this, most of the president’s conservative voter base still supports him, highlighting the complex and often contradictory nature of political allegiances.
Democrats have seized on economic concerns as a central theme in their campaigns, as polls show that many voters consider the economy their top issue for November. The White House has defended Trump’s economic policies, emphasizing his commitment to cutting costs and putting more money back in the pockets of hardworking American families.
As the midterm elections draw nearer, the political landscape continues to evolve, with each typology group bringing its unique perspectives and priorities to the forefront. The outcome of these elections will not only shape the future of Congress but also provide valuable insights into the shifting dynamics of American politics.
